From: Carbon neutral Bhutan: sustaining carbon neutral status under growth pressures
 | Residential Sector | Commercial sector | Transport sector | Industry sector |
---|---|---|---|---|
Sectors Conditions | ||||
 BAU conditions | Fuelwood usage is all end-uses expected to decline to 23% by 2050 following the declining rural population; Saturation of households with heating facilities to increase from 50% in 2014 to 70% by 2050; | Fuelwood usage declines by 50%; | Bus share increases from 45 to 65% by 2050; Passenger transport by air increases from 20 to 25% by 2050; Light diesel truck share increases from 17 to 30% by 2050; |  |
 NDC Plan conditions (from the broad strategy outlined in the NDC) | Fuelwood usage decreases to 10% by 2050; Biogas reaches full potential of 20,000 plants by 2030, which meets 28% of cooking energy demand; | Fuelwood usage decreases to 10% by 2050 | Electric vehicles share in the market assumed to follow half of the intake rate specified under 2DS of the IEA [44]. | Improved refractories in cement industry and efficiency improvement in Iron & Steel and Ferro Alloy industries [42]; Vocarse kiln system in CaCd Industry [46]; |
Group A Scenarios | ||||
 BAU | BAU conditions with GDP growth rate of 7.8% and sustaining at 5.6% until 2050 | |||
 HGDP | High GDP growth rate of 10% in 2020 and 2025, thereafter declining to 7.8% by 2050, inherited from BAU | |||
 LGDP | Low GDP growth rate of 5.6% in 2020 and declining to 2.5% by 2050, inherited from BAU | |||
 NDC Plan | NDC conditions with BAU growth rate | |||
Group B Scenarios | ||||
 CNBAU | BAU with CN measures consisting of ATECH and IS | |||
 CNHGDP | HGDP scenario with CN measures consisting of F8050, IS and MF30 | |||
 CN_NDC Plan | NDC Plan scenario with CN measures consisting of IS and MF30 |